How will DPS appear in the upcoming elections, whenever they are… This is the question of questions. As well as one or two dispatches, we will see the vote – DPS-Peevski and DPS-Dogan.
As it is known, the meeting of the Central Operational Bureau (COB) of the DPS, which was supposed to be held a few days ago in Ahmed Dogan's summer shed in Rosenets, failed. In order to have a quorum, 16 plus 1 of the 24 members of the PSC had to be present. However, 14 people responded to the meeting (note – doubts have already arisen as to whether there are 13 left to Dogan). This means that the circle around Delyan Peevski has regrouped 10 (no. – maybe new ladies in addition) people from the CSO.
However, neither the one nor the other group can make any changes in the party's leadership or constitution. The idea of the supporters of the honorary chairman of the DPS was to call a meeting to "take down" from the position of Delyan Peevski, but this, as it seems for now, cannot happen.
The interesting thing to note here is that Ahmed Dogan introduced this to have a quota in the CSO to legitimize the decisions. He always knew that he could count on more than 16 (note - as many as are needed to make legally justified decisions), but he did not know that Peevski could ever face him. So security – basically, making one-man decisions dressed up through the CSO is playing a bad joke on him now, because securing those 16 plus 1s is proving to be a tough job. For the first time, Dogan meets a serious opponent within the DPS, who asserts a serious influence in the party.
What are the options
In a situation of quick elections, can DPS not be a political entity in the parliamentary race? It is very possible that we will see Peevski's DPS and Dogan's DPS as separate entities if the CSO does not come together to change the leadership. Delyan Peevski and Jevjet Chakarov can currently represent DPS jointly and separately. According to FAKTI, the seal is in Jevjet Chakarov. And the stamp is needed to sign and seal the lists for participation in the elections. Delyan Peevski, in his capacity as co-chairman, can also get a stamp after taking certain administrative steps. If this happens, the battle between Peevski and Dogan is transferred to the field of regional structures to find people. And here the interesting thing is whether the “corporation” will defeat the “idea”. The battle at the level of local structures will be fierce, and the effect will be a fragmented outcome. That's for sure. It is clear that Delyan Peevski and Jevdet Chakarov have different concepts. Chakarov and people who support Dogan want a little more postponement of the election date. Peevski wants quick elections. There is currently parity in the voting of the collective bodies of the DPS. According to their statutes, there must be a qualified majority to make a decision. People who support Dogan believe that in time they will achieve a qualified majority and be able to make a change in the presidency.
For this to happen
After the option of one DPS is exhausted, it is most possible that the circle around Peevski and that around Chakarov will position themselves in different political configurations – so called “racket carriers“. They will participate through other parties that will register to be mandate holders, including the names of coalitions, which will, however, be under the DPS umbrella. The name DPS – be it Peevski's or Dogan's, it will be clearly marked so that there are no mistakes.
And here comes the role of Turkey
Bulgaria will be parceled out according to “ideas” or “corporation”. That's easy. But how strong will the “corporation“ in Turkey… This question is interesting, but remains at the moment without a concrete answer. The role of Turkey, which is fully aware of the development of DPS in Bulgaria throughout the transition, will be more than important. Whether he will ask to dramatically tip the scales in someone's favor is quite possible. Something between 40,000 and 90,000 votes is not to be underestimated. When Erdogan intervenes, the votes become 90,000. When Erdogan makes a “pass”, they become 40,000. And Turkey can give them those votes… The question is whose…