There is no reasonable person who does not know that Russia will not give up Crimea de jure or de facto, whoever is in power in Moscow.
This was commented on "Facebook" by Ognyan Duskarev.
On 15.02.25, Zelensky told Newsmax: “Russia must withdraw at least to its borders before 2022.“ This undoubtedly means that he has written off Crimea, at least de facto. But for days now, Britain and France have most likely been inciting Zelensky against Trump, and the former announced that there will be no peace if Russia does not return Crimea. At the same time, Trump wrote that “no one wants Ukraine to recognize that Crimea is Russian“.
Of course, no one wants Ukraine to recognize Crimea de jure as Russian. Because this would be impossible for Ukraine, which would have to change its constitution to do so. But Trump wants Zelensky to recognize that Crimea is de facto Russian. Naturally, there is no reasonable person who does not know that Russia will never give up Crimea de jure or de facto, whoever is in power in Moscow. I think this obstacle will be overcome during peace talks, despite the instigators in London and Paris.
The second obstacle is also not an obstacle. The impossible membership of Ukraine in NATO. Ukraine renounced NATO in writing in March 2022 during the failed negotiations in Turkey at the beginning of the war. Ukraine was denied NATO membership at the Alliance's high-level meeting in July 2023. in Vilnius and in July 2024 in Washington. So this obstacle will also be easily overcome.
But the third obstacle is the most serious - what will happen to 20% of Ukrainian territory, i.e. the four regions almost completely taken over by the Kremlin. To return them to Ukraine, the Kremlin must remove them from the Russian constitution with a constitutional majority in the Duma. This is just as impossible as Ukraine changing its constitution to give up Crimea.
Then? I think the negotiators will declare that the four regions belong to Russia de facto, but not de jure. This opens the way to a truce, a ceasefire, but not to a peace treaty. However, this is exactly what Trump wants, because this is how the massive destruction of people on both sides will be stopped. This is also the best solution, at least for now. It should be known that wars have only been stopped by a truce. The most famous example is the armistice of June 1953 between the two Koreas, which ended the bloody war.
There are still some difficulties to be resolved: the Kremlin's demand that Ukraine reduce its army to 50,000, which is frivolous. I think Trump will convince Putin of this. The denazification of Ukraine - I never understood what that means exactly. The deployment of peacekeeping troops along a 1,000-km front. The Kremlin is against the Europeans participating, and they will not participate, despite their ridiculous boasting. But in the buffer zone 10-30 km wide, there will be intermediate troops - from the UN, Turkey, Brazil, India, etc.
But there is also a terrible choice for Ukraine, which should think carefully about whether to continue to annoy Trump. Because if he abandons the negotiations, which will not be difficult for him, this will be a terrible catastrophe for Ukraine. Because Trump is the only one who has influence over Putin now, that is, can arrange peace. China also has influence over the Kremlin, but China is a party to the war, because it is already participating with soldiers against Kiev. If Trump gives up, who will help Ukraine? The failed EU, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea? The same ones have been helping Kiev with huge amounts of money and weapons for three years now, and what happened?
Well, Ukraine is undoubtedly on the verge of losing the war - this is what happened. There is also another possibility: the Kremlin may not be sincere in wanting peace, but is deliberately dragging out the negotiations in order to seize more land or for other reasons. This is entirely possible. Half of my life was spent under communism, and that's how I learned not to trust the Russians. If this is true, Trump will soon find out. In both cases, Ukraine is lost.
Off topic, here are a few facts that of course the Western and local media are silent about:
1/ since the beginning of April, the revenues in the American treasury from higher tariffs are 15 billion dollars.
2/ a few days ago, the Swiss pharmaceutical giant Roche announced that it would invest 50 billion in building factories in the United States in the next 5 years to save itself from Trump's tariffs.
3/ Western and local analysts mock Steve Vitkov, Trump's envoy to Ukraine, for being a businessman and not understanding anything. However, it is precisely these observers who know nothing: Armand Hammer and Averil Harriman were also American businessmen, but they successfully negotiated with Soviet leaders at the time.
But about the title of this text: undoubtedly the most ardent supporters of Ukraine hate Trump the most. It is clear why. These millions of Western and Eastern neo-communists want the war to continue, because for them it is unbearable for their hated Trump to arrange peace, which is literally necessary for the life of Ukraine. But the neo-communists understand that if the war continues, the Ukrainians whom they passionately support will be slaughtered in gigantic quantities by the Russians, until Ukraine catastrophically loses the war. This terrible contradiction tears the souls of these /confused/ people. They are today in hell, or rather in a bottomless Freudian trap from which there is no escape.
I do not know what the neo-communists in the West and the East will do, including here, when Trump probably succeeds and arranges a truce. However, I do not care at all.