British intelligence: The summer offensive of the Russian army is doomed to total failure

Ukraine is preparing for another large-scale offensive by Russia, while Moscow's troops are intensifying their attacks on Ukrainian positions. Kiev reports that Russian reserves are accumulating in preparation for another major attack, writes The Telegraph.

However, according to analysts, Vladimir Putin's ambitions to seize new territories before a possible peace agreement are unlikely to be realized. The reason is the numerous problems, poor organization and lack of equipment in the Russian army.

Observers note that the Russian troops have practically exhausted their reserves of tanks and armored vehicles. Even if there are small tactical successes, Russia will not be able to exploit them due to limited resources.

Furthermore, Ukraine’s ability to carry out precision strikes with drones makes it difficult for Moscow to deploy significant forces on the front line, making a large-scale breakthrough unlikely.

Dmytro Zhmaylo, executive director of the Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation, told the British newspaper:

"For now, any Russian offensive on the front line is impossible. Russia has no major military victories on the front line, so it wants to create the impression that it has huge movements and advantages. We are not seeing this on the ground.“

Last month, Volodymyr Zelensky and G7 leaders warned that the Russian Federation was planning new attacks, especially on Sumy and Kharkiv regions, which could give Putin an advantage in future negotiations.

On Wednesday, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Oleksandr Syrsky, confirmed that the offensive had already begun - the intensity of Russian attacks had increased significantly. Meanwhile, Kiev is trying to keep the world's attention on the situation in Ukraine, despite the absence of the topic of a peace agreement from Donald Trump's agenda.

However, John Hardy, deputy director of the Russia program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, is convinced that the increase in attacks will not lead to significant successes:

"What we are observing is simply a sharp increase in the pace of attacks .... This is a very small scale. They can punch a hole in the Ukrainian line, but they are not able to punch that hole and achieve a quick, rapid, significant breakthrough.“

The Sumy region is considered to be potentially most vulnerable, where Ukrainian troops are regrouping after the rapid Russian offensive in the neighboring Kursk region. A Ukrainian soldier who participated in the fighting near Kursk told the publication that the retreat took place at night in small groups: “A lot of equipment was left behind,“ he said.

Hardy notes that the attacks are mainly carried out in small groups without much technical support, as resources are limited. Company-sized attacks (about 100 soldiers) are rare.