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ISW: Ukraine counted a large number of destroyed Russian equipment at the front

The current pace of production of armored vehicles and tanks in Russia indicates that such losses are likely to be fatal in the long term

Jan 5, 2025 08:12 103

ISW: Ukraine counted a large number of destroyed Russian equipment at the front  - 1

Data from the Ukrainian General Staff shows that they destroyed or damaged 3,689 tanks, 8,956 infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), 13,050 artillery systems and 407 air defense systems of Russia between January 1, 2024. and January 1, 2025.

This is according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Russian forces reportedly lost at least 197 tanks, 661 armored personnel carriers (APCs), and 65 artillery systems larger than 100 mm along the entire front line during a period of intensified offensive operations in the Donetsk region in September and October 2024. and likely suffered even greater losses in June and July 2024, when they conducted mechanized offensive operations in the western Donetsk region several times a week.

The current pace of production of armored vehicles and tanks in Russia suggests that such losses are likely to be fatal in the long term.

Ukrainian military observer Konstantin Mashovets stated in February 2024 that the Russian defense industrial base could produce 250-300 "new and fully modernized" tanks and can repair approximately 250-300 damaged ones per year, well below Ukraine's estimate of 3,600 Russian tanks lost by 2024.

The British think tank International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) also reported in February 2024 that Russia is likely able to cope with vehicle losses (over 3,000 armored fighting vehicles, including tanks, armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles per year by 2023 and nearly 8,800 between February 2022 and February 2024) for at least two to three years (until around February 2026 or 2027) by majorly refurbishing vehicles from Soviet-era warehouses.

A social media source tracking Russian military warehouses through satellite imagery shared an updated assessment of Russian tank and armored vehicle storage facilities. vehicles on December 22 and estimated that Russian forces had 47 percent of their pre-war tank reserves, 52 percent of their pre-war infantry fighting vehicle reserves, and 45 percent of their pre-war armored personnel carriers reserves remaining in storage as of a recent unspecified date.

A spokesman for a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Kurakhovo direction stated on January 3 that over the past few weeks, Russian forces had been using mostly infantry to carry out attacks in the area.

Russian attacks near medium-sized settlements such as Kurakhovo and Pokrovsk may also be less conducive to mechanized attacks than smaller settlements and open fields. Russian forces may use fewer armored vehicles in the Kurakhovo and Pokrovsky directions if the Russian army struggles to rearm front-line Russian units and formations.

Ukrainian forces struck a gas terminal in the port of Ust-Luga in the Leningrad region on the night of January 3-4. Geolocated footage published on January 4 shows damage to the gas terminal in Ust-Luga, Leningrad region, after a Ukrainian drone attack.

Russian opposition publication Astra reported that its sources said that Russian forces shot down most of the drones over the port terminal of Novatek subsidiary Novatrans LLC, causing minor damage to a building.

Leningrad region governor Alexander Drozdenko said that Russian forces shot down a total of four drones over the Leningrad region, but there was no damage.