The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects in its baseline scenario that the conflict in Ukraine "will subside in the final months of this year".
This is stated in the organization's published forecast.
“Although risks remain extremely high, the baseline scenario continues to assume that the war will subside in the final months of this year“, says the document published on the IMF website.
“The difficulties of the ongoing war, including recent large-scale attacks on gas infrastructure and the closure of a key coal mine, continue to weigh on growth in 2025“, says the publication.
The pessimistic scenario The IMF predicts that the conflict will subside only in the second quarter of 2026, the document says.
Yesterday, the IMF decided that Kiev will receive another tranche of $400 million, and the financial institution's experts expect that the slowdown in Ukraine's economic growth will continue in 2025.
According to their estimates, this year the country's GDP growth will reach 2-3%, next year - 4.5%, and in 2027 - 4.8%.