We all strongly hope that what was presented as the most general commitments in the agreement to form a cabinet will be differentiated into specific things that the government of Rosen Zhelyazkov has to do, and which we are all waiting for to be done. What exactly they will do, how they will meet these expectations, we will see for now, because we need to see the government's program. This was said in the show "Metronome" on Radio "Focus" by Assoc. Prof. Tatyana Burudzhieva from the sociological agency "Gallup".
According to her, there will be a lot of political squabbles, since the coalition is made up of very diverse partners, some of them with experience in overthrowing governments. So, according to her, the government's sustainability will not be easy. "On the other hand, this is a political government with a specific, clear political responsibility, which sounds good in the direction of stability, since it is about protecting the main thing for which the parties were formed - their political interests. And the logic is that they should not easily blow up their political interests once they have come together to implement and solve them.“
According to the political scientist, just as there are certain departments in which it is not very clear whether the appointed people will cope with the task, since they do not have management experience, there are also enough ministers and representatives of different parties with very deep management experience, which, according to her, gives a signal that the government will work. “The second signal is that the merry-go-round with the incessant elections seems to be postponed or we are moving towards a little greater temporal stability, and not so frequent early elections.“
The stability of the government is also determined by the fact that sufficiently small partners can always be replaced by some others, in any specific vote, including in a vote of no confidence in the government, because this would mean cooperating with the opposition to go to elections. So, with parties like Dogan's DPS, support for the ruling coalition is not accidental, since the risk of being outside parliament in any possible elections is very high.
According to the political scientist, the presence of Dogan's APS as the fourth element in the coalition has a purely psychological impact - it eliminates the claims of the PP-DB that this is a Peevski government precisely because of the presence of APS, for whom it is vital to limit Peevski's influence in power. "This whole rift in the DPS, the attempt to make voters choose which DPS is better, for me is a choice that must be based on a much deeper assessment. If we do not accept the way our country is governed after the Transition and if we want to change this model, we cannot accept either one or the other DPS, because they use this model. They created it and then used it, and now the battle is who will use it more effectively. Purely symbolically, one part of those who created, developed this model and used it, is now a guarantor that the other part will not use it. But I hope the other part will also be a guarantor of this. As Peevski promises, we are all waiting for a lot of information from him.“
In any possible upcoming elections, GERB will certainly not lose the first place, Assoc. Prof. Burudzhieva also believes. "For 3 and a half years now, GERB has been gradually following a strategy of purifying their image, creating the image of a party that is not simply solely personified by Borisov“. According to her, all other parties will lose from new elections. "PP-DB must answer to their voters why they allowed there to be no clear right-wing government with policies that will indeed be largely implemented now, simply because these are the common policies between GERB and PP-DB. They will have to explain why and for how long Bulgaria will not have a stable right-wing government, because they cannot personally agree on many things." As for second place, according to her, the battle there will be simply deadly tough between Peevski's MRF, "Vazrazhdane", which have quite a big claim, and PP-DB, which will try to defend second place, which will prevent the coalition from splitting.
"So if we go to elections, those who will argue for second place will lose the most, because even if they manage to gain, it will be by a small amount. Of course, there are other parties that are fighting to enter parliament. Only GERB may be calmer in the elections. There is no objective logic for anyone to strive to not have a government and go to new elections,“ she also pointed out.