On election night, I said that the development of the political crisis in Bulgaria would largely depend on who wins the US elections.
No, not directly. It's just that Trump's victory is leading to a political reassessment worldwide and it was logical that such a reassessment would also be made in Bulgaria.
A reassessment of some liberal policies, bordering on ultraliberal, and a reassessment of the role and influence, even the power, of liberal ideas.
This was commented on "Facebook" Diana Damyanova.
Because, Borisov is winning the elections for the Nth time, but his fear of the yellow cobblestones, his nightmare memory of 2020, when he practically had no access to his workplace, his belief that without the participation of the liberal-democratic parties in power, governance is practically impossible, led to a practical refusal to form a government.
Let us recall that less than a year ago, Borisov practically split the MRF, just so as not to enter into an open partnership with it. Because the fear that such a government could bring people to the streets and that he would be overthrown was the dominant one in the behavior of Borisov and GERB.
Not that Trump's election does everything possible, not at all, but it leads to a further weakening of liberal civic energy, of the possibility of such being mobilized by the liberal-democratic sector /self-proclaimed in Bulgaria as "good forces"/ and opens up the possibility of making bolder political constructions, ones that do not fully or not at all include the "good forces".
It will remain a mystery to us, the outside political observers, whether the negotiations with the DB were some kind of fake and Borisov had long ago created an alternative majority, or whether he was really trying to integrate them into a single government and make them sympathetic /I am more inclined to believe in the latter/, but as I clearly predicted two months ago and more, if he fails to form a government with the so-called democratic forces, then this time he will make one with a slightly loose character.
He tried, I don't know how honestly, he didn't succeed /maybe the attempts continue/ and turned to option “B” - a government of the possible.
Because that is exactly what will be presented to us in the coming days.
No one can say how long it would last, I only know that temporary things are sometimes more permanent than permanent assemblies.
But, the courage of Borisov and GERB to make such a government is entirely dictated by the new wind in world politics. As I have said before, Borisov is a Trump-type leader and Trump's victory will give him some wings. Not only him but also many similar politicians in the world.
Or in short, what Borisov feared most, namely the yellow vest rebellion, now does not scare him due to the general crisis of yellow vests, and not only in our country.
Therefore, a government is completely possible. That it is desired by its constituents and by a huge part of the Bulgarian people, this is quite clear. Whether it will succeed - that depends only on it, the government itself.
If it does not make gross mistakes - it will probably succeed.
The mystery remains as to how Peevski “allowed” the support of “Dogan's farmers” and to what extent this is a disagreement between Borisov and Peevski, but people much smarter than me will have to speak out on this issue.
For now, it is clear that despite his desire /if it was sincere/ Borisov this time dared to overcome his dependence that a government is only possible with the PPDB, together or separately, and to make an attempt to realize the possible, not the desired.
Is there civic energy to punish possible mistakes of the government /if they happen/?
Yes, there is.
But not to the extent of blaming the government if it works normally.