Only 8% of Germans believe that Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democratic Party (SPD) will be able to win the upcoming federal elections in February. This is according to data from a survey conducted by the INSA sociological institute on behalf of the Bild newspaper.
This means that 9 out of 10 respondents no longer expect the SPD to be able to turn the tide of the election campaign. Currently, the level of support for the Social Democrats is 16%, the party is in third place in the ranking of political forces in Germany.
The overwhelming majority of respondents (57%) believe that the conservative bloc of the Christian Democratic and Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) will win the elections. 17% rely on the party "Alternative for Germany". (AfD), 3% believe that the Green Party will win. Another 12% of Germans admitted that they do not know.
The survey also showed that the inhabitants of Germany do not trust the Free Democratic Party (FDP). Specifically, 56% of respondents expressed the opinion that they will not be able to overcome the five percent barrier and will not enter the Bundestag. At the same time, 29% express the opposite point of view. The FDP's current rating is around 4-5%.
The survey was conducted from January 16 to 17. 1,004 people participated in it. It should be noted that the participants were not asked about support for a particular party, but about the likelihood of its victory in the upcoming elections.
On February 23, early parliamentary elections will be held in Germany. Based on their results, a new government will be formed and a new chancellor will be elected. The current head of government, Olaf Scholz, is the Social Democratic candidate for chancellor and the main rival of the CDU/CSU candidate Friedrich Merz. The gap between the conservatives and the Social Democrats is now 13 percentage points.